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Department of Homeland Security Bioterrorism Risk Assessment: A Call for Change

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Department of Homeland Security Bioterrorism Risk Assessment: A Call for Change

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    Available in PDF Format | Department of Homeland Security Bioterrorism Risk Assessment: A Call for Change.pdf | Unknown
    Committee on Methodological Improvements to the Department of Homeland Security's Biological Agent Risk Analysis, National Research Council
The mission of "Department of Homeland Security Bioterrorism Risk Assessment: A Call for Change", the new book from the National Research Council, is to independently and scientifically review the methodology that led to the 2006 Department of Homeland Security report, Bioterrorism Risk Assessment (BTRA) and provide a foundation for future updates. This book identifies a number of fundamental concerns with the BTRA of 2006, ranging from mathematical and statistical mistakes that have corrupted results, to unnecessarily complicated probability models and models with fidelity far exceeding existing data, to more basic questions about how terrorist behavior should be modeled.Rather than merely criticizing what was done in the BTRA of 2006, this new NRC book consults outside experts and collects a number of proposed alternatives that could improve DHS' ability to assess potential terrorist behavior as a key element of risk-informed decision making, and it explains these alternatives in the specific context of the BTRA and the bioterrorism threat.  
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